No-Shows in the OC?

Posted by gautam on May 11th, 2008

This Saturday, our friends at APIA Vote will hold a Presidential Town Hall at the University of California, Irvine. As one of many cosponsors, AAA-Fund encourages you to attend — and especially urges the Presidential hopefuls to join us for this important, bipartisan gathering.

To date, none of the three candidates has confirmed that he or she will attend (although we have heard encouraging signs from Camp Clinton). Here’s one key factor: both the Oregon and Kentucky Democratic primaries will be held on May 20, the Tuesday after the Town Hall. (Note: Since Oregon holds all-mail elections, its ballots will be counted next Tuesday.)

While Obama and Clinton continue their duel, McCain has no excuse whatsoever for not attending — unless, of course, McCain does not care about reaching out to Asian Americans. After all, the Town Hall is not being held in the purportedly liberal bastions of Berkeley or UCLA. Rather, it’s located in the heart of Orange County: the longtime epicenter of Californian conservatism, and a loyal cash cow to generations of national GOP candidates.

But if McCain were to commit, he would almost shame both Democrats into attending. And that would be a good thing.

Although we applaud the gist of their policy platforms, neither Obama nor Clinton has particularly focused on APAs. It’s about time they did. This fall, Asian Americans will play a key role in the battleground states of Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Washington State and Virginia. (Here’s why California, Texas, Hawaii and New York won’t matter.)

No matter whom you’re supporting, tell him or her to show up on Saturday.

– Gautam Dutta

Hirono Backs Obama

Posted by Justin on May 9th, 2008

Ed. Note: While AAA-Fund will not make a pre-primary, Presidential endorsement, its bloggers are free to opine about any candidate. To foster a spirited dialogue, we encourage readers to post their Comments on our Blog.

Congresswoman (HI-02), AAA-Fund Honorary Board Member, and superdelegate Mazie Hirono has endorsed Barack Obama.

– Justin Gillenwater

One Sweet Dream

Posted by Justin on May 9th, 2008

The Austin City Council, Place 3 race between Jennifer Kim, the first Asian American on Austin’s City Council, and Randi Shade is Saturday. If you don’t like learning about the candidates in interview format, you may enjoy Randi’s own introduction, and Jeff Heckler’s supporting statements for Jennifer.

Endorsements are split. Jennifer has the backing of groups such as Clean Water Action / Texas Vote Environment, Capital Area Asian American Democrats, Capital Area Progressive Democrats, Capital City Young Democrats, Southwest Austin Democrats, and the League of Bicycling Voters. Randi has the backing of Austin American-Statesman, the city’s lone mainstream newspaper (and endorser of Bush in 2004), and the Daily Texan, UT’s school paper. Burnt Orange Report couldn’t decide, so it endorsed both. The Austin Chronicle, the city’s “alternative” newspaper, couldn’t decide, so it made no endorsement.

Jennifer and Randi both have ads on tv. Jennifer’s 2005 ad probably bumped her into the runoff.

Kim’s campaign has placed anonymous robocalls in violation of state law. Shade’s campaign seems to have its own campaign problems, having received an ethics complaint from Kim’s campaign regarding Shade’s failure to properly disclose bundled donations.

Capital Area Asian American Democrats conducted a poll of the race three weeks ago and found Undecided is leading the race. You, as the people leaning towards Undecided should do, can learn more about the race and other Austin City Council races here.

This race will be one to watch tomorrow!

In more nationally sexy races, TX-07, home of the Texas Medical Center, and Rice University is starting to look competitive. Even if Skelly has no chance, the sort of money he’s raising will mean more money that Republicans must spend on defense to try to survive November cannot be spent threatening Democratic seats. Kuff links us to an interview with Skelly, who is one of the top fundraising challengers in the nation.

TX-22 will prove as exciting this year as it was two years ago. In the primary, Olson slew The One In Pink, much to the delight of pretty much everyone except those who voted for her, as he capitalized on the “anybody but Silly Shelly” vote. He will face incumbent Nick Lampson, who, if reelected, will likely will become chair of the space and technology subcommittee of the House Science Committee, granting him substantial power over NASA.

“Liberal” is the only attack the Republicans have against Lampson. This attack is hollow for many reasons, mostly because Lampson is not liberal, unlike his colleague and true Democrat, Al Green.

To better understand TX-22, read Professor Murray’s history of the district.

Noriega’s race against Cornyn continues to become more interesting and may be one of the most exciting of all the senate races this cycle. Noriega will receive Progressive Patriot Fund and DSCC money. Texas is the first stop on the DSCC’s road to victory! The only attacks Cornyn’s supporters can muster consist of racism, which hopefully will be an inadequate defense.

A recent poll shows Noriega down by 4 and Obama down by 13, with McCain barely over 50. A slightly less recent poll shows the same results for Noriega with Obama only down by 4 with McCain below 50. This is an improvement for McCain, who was only one point over Obama back in early March when the campaigns were all in Texas. Take these presidential numbers with a grain of kosher salt. March polls taken around that time showed McCain with about the same numbers in California as Obama in Texas — either a spectacular or horrifying revelation. Burnt Orange Report has a great roundup of reactions to the May numbers.

Why are Democrats fairing so well in these polls? Is it the rise of Hispanic voting power? Democrats moving in from out of state? Are people finally getting fed up with the Republicans? Tell us what you think.

I think with the continued growth of the state and its likely pickup of up to four more seats in the House after the 2010 census, the Republicans will pull out all the stops to try to hold on to power. One of their strategies will be the continued direct assault on voting — highly flimsy charges of vote fraud against likely Democratic voters (likely with an inability to fully defend themselves, which thankfully is not as big a problem as it could be because voter fraud cases are difficult to prosecute), extreme difficulties for minority voter registration and voting one might expect from the 1960’s and earlier, and requiring voter id. The recent Supreme Court decision about voter ID in Indiana does not help, but IDs are not free (yet) in Texas, unlike in Indiana. Of course “free” IDs in Indiana are not free because obtaining them requires supporting documents that are not free. Of course, some people ARE voting illegally. Anecdotally from reliable sources, some of these multi-voters were proud to have done so.

I also think the continued population growth does not bode well for the future of air quality in Texas. Fort Bend County, home to many of the Houston area’s Asian Americans, has bad air. The entire Houston area does. And there is so little incentive for polluters to remedy themselves, and the Texas Commission for Environmental Quality supports the polluters. Why do more people not care that smog causes premature death?

Such growth requires more places to live. But, due to another commission in the pocket of the industry it’s supposed to regulate, one’s house isn’t as reliable as it should be. Yes, the Texas Residential Construction Commission, or TRCC (pronounced “trick”) - a group named almost as well as Nixon’s CREEP - thwarts homeowners at almost every opportunity. If a homeowner can find rare success in the arbitration process, like the Culls, the Texas Supreme Court will throw another roadblock. This court, which releases far too many per curiam opinions, will favor its donors. Kuff sums the difficulties people in Texas face in finding legal redress.

Bare with me, I’m almost through this current list of Texas grievances only to be remedied by a Democratic tidal wave.

The state board of education usually makes news when they’re trying to decide between real science and history textbooks or teaching that white Jesus rode a dinosaur to America. This time, they’re trying to push through a very non-diverse recommended reading list. The board’s chair doesn’t seem to understand what a reading list is for, defending the lack of diversity with “a bunch of crazy Chinese words” not helping “mastery of English.” I’ll let you digest the many things wrong with that statement yourself. Of course, there’s also the bible classes to be concerned about. I have no problem with a bible class, if it’s in college Before college, teach of religious texts, even as literature, should be far more broad based. I suggest including apocryphal texts of Christianity, the Qur’an, Tipitaka, and the Sruti. Perhaps modern texts such as Dianetics and The Gospel of the Flying Spaghetti Monster should be included as well. The Eight I’d Really Rather You Didn’ts really should be posted in classes and court rooms.

Maybe with such change, we can start to do something about poverty too.

As soon as this year’s election cycle is over, which will happen before we know it, we can start to focus on the looming Republican gubernatorial nominee steel cage death match between Kay Bailey Hutchison and Rick Perry, which could possibly even include David Dewhurst. Oh what joy! Houston mayor Bill White will likely run against whoever emerges as the Republican candidate.

- Justin Gillenwater
Update: Shade destroyified Kim, which is a shame because Kim raised the profile of Austin’s Asian American community on the city’s boards and commissions. While I am disappointed, all is not lost. Bob Perry-backed - yes Bob “Swift-Boat” Perry - candidates lost their attempt to take over my local water authority by even greater margins.

Obama the Organizer! / Hillary the Uniter?

Posted by Caroline on May 8th, 2008

Ed. Note: While AAA-Fund will not make a pre-primary, Presidential endorsement, its bloggers are free to opine about any candidate. To foster a spirited dialogue, we encourage readers to post their Comments on our Blog.

Obama the Organizer! / Hillary the Uniter?

After North Carolina and Indiana ’s primaries, predictability settles in with the rest of the race. Clinton will win West Virginia , Kentucky and Puerto Rico but not with the large margins she needs. Obama will win Oregon , South Dakota , and Montana . The proportional system of the primaries negates any mathematical equation that erases Obama’s lead in pledged delegates. Obama’s North Carolina victory secures his edge in the popular vote. Clinton and undeclared superdelegates continue to move toward Obama while not a single Obama superdelegate has defected to Clinton (Former Clinton supporter George McGovern’s switch to Obama and call for Hillary to drop out of the race is one of the latest). The numbers are clearly on Obama’s side and his declared next steps highlights the type of leadership we should expect in the general election and the White House. It also calls the question on Hillary Clinton and us.

Since Obama’s first victory in the Iowa primary, his grassroots campaign bucked tradition and all expectations in a contest most experienced pundits and party activists had initially thought Hillary Clinton had already clinched with her early lead in superdelegates and high name recognition. Obama broke all records when 1.5 million people donated to his campaign and built a war chest that surpassed both Clinton and McCain’s treasury. His candidacy single-handedly brought in an impressive number of new voters and restored faith in the youth, which most political experts have dismissed as unreliable. After the recent grueling several weeks of kitchen sink politics, most candidates would be re-adjusting their public message for the usual voter but instead Obama is launching the largest national grassroots voter registration effort in US history. On May 10, his Voters for Change program will attempt to sign-up new voters in all 50 states. Putting aside the media banter, the strategy and tactics of the Obama campaign is clearly about expanding democracy.

With Clinton ’s inability to trounce Obama in North Carolina and win with a large margin in Indiana , a state in which she served as a field director for Jimmy Carter’s presidential campaign, she must respond to Obama’s new type of political leadership. The traditional approach of checking off a list of interest groups and dividing up the electorate failed. Additionally, this drawn out and ugly race has hardened some supporters to their candidate. Much has been paraded about a certain percentage of Clinton supporters retreating to McCain should Obama become the nominee. Clinton is now positioned to be either a uniter or a divider. This does not necessarily mean that she must immediately end her election bid but she must decide what kind of campaign she should run from here on. Unfortunately, a choice of the politics of division only reaffirms that her campaign was all about her ego. (Also, considering McCain has not hidden his commitment to continue the Iraq War and the fact that six of the nine US Supreme Court Justices will be over 70 years of age after June 20, 2009 and that there is a real possibility of the next president seating a significant number of judicial seats, Clinton supporters who vote for McCain were never Democrats in the first place and have masked the real reasons they stood behind Clinton). The next few weeks will show what kind of leadership she ultimately represents.

For us, Obama’s leadership model not only challenges Hillary Clinton but all Americans as well. It places more responsibility on us. The significance of his caucus victories is that his administration would require us to think about democracy beyond a simple vote and more about active citizenship and sacrifice. It means more than checking a box on the ballot but getting out the door and engaging others. Much has been raised about Obama needing to do more to outreach specific groups such as Asian Americans Pacific Islanders. When we make such criticisms, we fail to understand the significance of his campaign and make the same mistakes of the Clinton team. The grassroots nature of his operation requires us to make the effort to educate and involve others. It is not just a slogan when Obama states, “I am asking you to believe. Not just in my ability to bring about real change in Washington …I’m asking you to believe in yours.” We are called upon to be organizers and uniters like Obama.

Bottom-line: Change will only happen when we choose to make it happen ourselves.

–John Delloro

Time to Exit Gracefully

Posted by gautam on May 7th, 2008

Ed. Note: While AAA-Fund will not make a pre-primary, Presidential endorsement, its bloggers are free to opine about any candidate. To foster a spirited dialogue, we encourage readers to post their Comments on our Blog.

Prior to last Saturday’s Kentucky Derby, Hillary Clinton told her supporters to root for Eight Belles, the first filly in the Triple Crown race since 1999. Eight Belles finished a strong second but broke her front legs and was euthanized.

I know what this incident says about horse racing: it’s a cruel sport that has no place in 21st century America. As far as politics, it symbolizes the entire 2008 campaign for Clinton, unfortunately for her. She ran a strong second in a great field of candidates, but after the Indiana and North Carolina results, it’s time to euthanize her campaign and end this race sooner rather than later.

The increasingly desperate babbling of Clinton shill Lanny Davis the last two days have forced me to temporarily boycott watching CNN in favor of MSNBC. May 6 was the last chance Hillary had to capture the nomination. In North Carolina, the larger of the two contested states, she got blown out despite spending nearly half her time and resources there. In Indiana, which has a miniscule African-American population and a wealth of blue collar white voters, she barely eked out a 51-49 victory. As I predicted, Hillary’s pandering on the gas tax holiday apparently backfired in both states, as did her attempt to paint Obama as an elitist coming from a couple that reported $109 million in income since leaving the White House. The combined totals of Indiana and North Carolina mean that Barack Obama completely erased Hillary’s delegate gain in Pennsylvania.

Obama is now within about 180 delegates of clinching the nomination with six contests left that the two are expected to split fairly evenly. The slow trickle of superdelegates that has been going his way before, during and after Pennsylvania is likely to increase to a steady stream and eventually, a flood. By that time it will be mathematically over, but it’s already over for all intents and purposes.

While the talking heads continue to focus on Obama’s so-called “problem” with blue collar white voters (which Al Gore and John Kerry couldn’t do much about, either), they have been glossing over Obama’s astounding margin of victory among African-American voters. It’s easy to forget that in 2007 and early 2008, polls consistently showed Clinton leading Obama among blacks by small to significant margins. Now he is whomping her to the tune of 90+ percent in every single contest, and that doesn’t even reflect their increasing turnout which magnifies their importance.

If Obama has a little “problem” with blue collar whites, ask yourself what size problem the Democratic Party will have with black voters if it overturns the clear, cumulative result of 50+ caucuses and primaries in some back room superdelegate deal in Denver? What Lanny and the Clintonites keep hinting at — even after Indiana and North Carolina — is political suicide for the Democratic Party. Not just for 2008, but for decades to come, given that Obama’s second strongest demographic has been young voters.

If Hillary wants to win so badly that she’s willing to sacrifice the black vote — the most loyal Democratic voters in every election — and also stab Obama’s young voters in the back, then all she will have truly won in the short term is the right to be trounced by John McCain in November. In the long term, she will be infamous for the damage she inflicted on the Democratic base. Unless that’s the legacy that she wants, she’ll gracefully head for the exits and allow the Democratic Party to heal, unify and beat McCain.

– Theo Chen

Ed. Note: While AAA-Fund will not make a pre-primary, Presidential endorsement, its bloggers are free to opine about any candidate. To foster a spirited dialogue, we encourage readers to post their Comments on our Blog. (Crossposted on the new open community APA blog - THE INCLUSION ACT)

Yesterday, Barack Obama scored a decisive victory over Hillary Clinton in North Carolina. He also came from behind to claim a basic tie in Indiana, thus refusing Clinton any significant amount of desperately needed delegates. Worse almost, Clinton’s minor victory in IN appears to have been a result of hate-radio provocateur Rush Limbaugh’s meddling. Here are the results:

Indiana

 

99 percent reporting

% Dels
Clinton 51 32
Obama 49 29

Vote margin: 22,019

North Carolina

99 percent reporting

% Dels
Obama 56 45
Clinton 42 37

Vote margin: 232,762

The consensus of Obama being the nominee seems to be forming. “We now know who the Democratic nominee’s going to be, and no one’s going to dispute it,” said Tim Russert last night.

The next question to be resolved in the coming months will be: how to bring the various factions and individuals who supported Clinton into the Obama fold? Several polls suggest the bitter nature of the primary campaign. 28% of Clinton voters say they will support McCain over Obama. I sincerely doubt that figure will last til November, but it’s certainly a high enough number to worry about.

For McCain and Obama, courting the Asian American community will be a serious endeavor.

One of Clinton’s most loyal demographic constituencies has been Asian Americans. Asian Americans came out heavily for Clinton in most of the primaries, with 86% of the community supporting her in New York and 73% in New Jersey. (Exit polling provided by the Asian American Legal Defense Fund)

Asian American in California are believed to have been one of the major reasons for Clinton’s victory there as well.

Despite John McCain’s history of anti-Asian racial slurs (He has openly used the term Gook and is said to have joked with reporters on his campaign bus repeatedly with the term in 2000), McCain might see an opening to recruit these candidate-less voters once Clinton stops running.

The nasty and deceitful anti-Obama e-mails from the organization 80-20 (specifically their colorful leader S.B. Woo) have left a deep impression in the minds of many Asian Americans.

Furthermore, many believe Obama has not made many attempts to communicate directly with the Asian American community through ethnic media or in his national speeches. Recognition is the first step in showing Asian American voters he not only respects them, but will carry their hopes and interests to the White House.

Jindalwatch (cont’d)

Posted by gautam on May 6th, 2008

It’s official: Bobby Jindal has become a top contender to be McCain’s running mate. Conservative icon William Kristol suggested that the 36-year-old Louisiana Governor would enable the 71-year-old to answer Obama’s youth and charisma. The venue for his suggestion (made at Camp McCain’s behest): the venerable New York Times op-ed page.

Jindal’s stock has soared faster than the dollar has fallen. Asian Americans — who live in key battleground states like Virginia, Washington, and Nevada — would find a McCain-Jindal ticket very attractive.

Both Obama and Clinton need to improve their outreach to the Asian American community, and fast.

– Gautam Dutta

Update: The Righthand Thief, a wily Cajun blog, pooh-poohs Jindal’s VP credentials. Check out his perspective here.

Edwin Chau and the OC

Posted by gautam on May 5th, 2008

AAA-Fund endorsee Edwin Chau just got a favorable mention from a top Democratic Blog, The Liberal OC. Please help Edwin become the first Asian American Democrat to be elected to Congress from Greater Los Angeles (California’s 42nd Congressional District).

– Gautam Dutta

The Valley Beckons

Posted by gautam on May 4th, 2008

Exciting things are happening in Silicon Valley.   Learn more about AAA-Fund endorsee Paul Fong, who is seeking to become the first Asian American elected from California Assembly District 22.  Fong and his main opponent were recently profiled here.  Paul’s faces a tight contest going into California’s June 3 primary.  Let’s do our part to support him.

– Gautam Dutta

Shotgun Marriage?

Posted by gautam on May 3rd, 2008

Obama-Clinton ‘08? For the sake of party unity, the Democratic contest may well be headed that way.

To be sure, Sen. Clinton first floated this idea in March. Although Sen. Obama had already taken the lead in delegates, she cheekily offered him the VP slot. Obama declined.

Two months later, Obama still leads Clinton by about 130 delegates, but cannot win the nomination without gaining the support of more superdelegates. Meanwhile, it is highly unlikely that Clinton can erase Obama’s pledged delegate lead — even if she prevails in most (or all) of the remaining contests. But since superdelegates can change their mind at any time, Clinton hopes to win them over with a strong finish.

Here’s how Clinton can convince the superdelegates to give her the top slot: she must beat Obama in Indiana, North Carolina, and virtually all of the remaining states. While current Hoosier polls spot her a lead, she still needs to gain ground in the Tar Heel State.

To control his own destiny, Obama must win both Indiana and North Carolina, along with most of the remaining states. But if he fails to win the Hoosier State, the superdelegates may “ask” him to take Clinton as his running mate.

While McCain coasts to a breezy GOP coronation, the bruising primary has taken a bitter toll on both Clinton and Obama. Unless they join forces, Democrats might not be able to retake the White House. If Obama fails to make the ticket, some of his backers may stay home or vote McCain. If Clinton fails to make it, some of her backers may vote McCain or stay home. Neither scenario bodes well.

Will such a shotgun marriage work? Half a century ago, two exceptional politicians fought fiercely for the Presidential nomination: a charismatic upstart and a seasoned insider. After making peace, they sought to retake the White House from the GOP for the first time in eight years.

John F. Kennedy and Lyndon B. Johnson not only defeated Richard Nixon, but set our nation on course for ending segregation, reducing poverty, and dramatically expanding immigration.

A fair shake for all Americans, including immigrants and the poor? Not a bad act to follow.

– Gautam Dutta