December 20, 2014

Key takeways from AAPI in-language Election Eve poll

Editorial Context: National Election Pool (NEP) is what AP, CNN and the major news services rely upon for exit polling data. It found AAPIs had a huge swing from 2012 and were the group that Republicans made the largest gains with, coming out 52D-48R (revised by them to 50D-49R.) This is slightly controversial as it doesn’t capture the Limited English Proficiency AAPIs in our population. I will also add that some of the debate around how pollsters got 2014 so wrong, some say is because pollsters pegged too closely to the US Census American Community Survey and therefore did not capture the midterm audience accurately (tends to be less diverse and older than voters in presidential years.) Also it should be noted that this in-language poll was taken pre-election.

Here are a few links about how  and why the polls were so wrong. Also any errors/ ommisions in typing were mine as I was taking notes on the call. For pretty graphics look at the presentation. -Caroline

Asian American Decisions did an in-language election eve poll of 2014 AAPI voters found here: http://vote.18mr.org/static/AAD_EE_Presentation.pdf

 

All findings from www.asianamericandecisions.com & Taeku Lee
1150 voters in 6 languages versus

National Exit Poll was of 129 voters in English, margin of error could be as high as 9%.

2-1 margins in favor of Dems 61-34%.
Although AAPIs have certain progressive values, most AAPIs do not identify as Democrats.

Texas Gov race: Asian Ams went 48-48 for Davis and Abbott.

VA Sen: AAPI 68-29 for Warner. Independents went 65-30 for Warner. Vote margin for Warner was estimated 25-30k votes, larger than Warner’s margin of victory.

Key issues:
Economy/ Jobs 32% (less prominent than 2012-2008)
Education Schools 22%
Health Care

40% of AAPIs indicated healthcare was either the most important issue or one of the top issues.

Immigration was lower down the list. 22% said immigration was not important in voting.

Partisanship:
Dem ID 97%
Republican ID 83%
Independent 58D.

Obama approval:
58-33 (15 pts higher than general population via Gallup)

Dem vote share went from 73% in 2012 to 66% in 2014

2012:
45I 14R 41D

2014:
40I 22R 39D

Partisan split on Obamacare
52 favorable 37 unfavorable

Immigration
60 support 26 oppose

Rep ID 47 support (more than oppose)

Min Wage
74-18 support

Rep ID: 57 support 32 oppose
Indep ID 67-24 support

Affirmative Action
63-26 support

Dem ID: 86-10 support
Rep ID: 38-48 oppose
Ind ID 56-30 support

Media consumption
37% internet
36% tv
12% paper

1 in 4 rely on ethnic media
1 in 6 rely on Asian language ethnic media

40% of sample was in language polling

56% were not contacted about voting

Contacted about voting by:
22 D only
11 R only
39 both parties
21 community org

2016:
65 D
35 R
33% said they were undecided or refused to give a response

Hillary Clinton:
62 favorable
23 unfavorable
2 not heard of
13 don’t know

GOP hopefuls have high unknowns, unfavorables.
Jeb Bush
25 fav 46 unfav 11 unheard 18 don’t know

Christie had 43% unfavorables.

Q & A:
Immigration sounds like it’s less important as an election issue than for the Latino community. Not single most important issue. 2014 is not a big change for AAPIs.

High no opinion rate that shows up in most polls. Party ID high portion of AAPIs either ID as independent or say they don’t know how to answer that q. Also for 2016 a high undecided portion. Tend not to share vote choice and partisanship in phone surveys until close to closing days.

Immigration linked to pathway to citizenship, were there other options provided for immigration reform? Big change between 2008 and 2012 in terms of big increase in AAPI support for immigration reform with pathway for citizenship. in 2008 it was 1 in 3. 2012 increased to majority. 2014 still a majority.

Since this is partnership between Asian American Decisions and Latino Decisions, any additional info on Young Kim & Janet Nguyen, 2 AAPI Republicans who won over Latino Dems in Orange County & implications?
Oversamples CA TX VA representative of AAPIs throughout the state. Didn’t ask horserace questions but will look into more info.

If you are only tapping English-only AAPIs, then that’s only one slice. NEP weighting moved from 52-48 D then they moved it to 50-49. This survey is pegged to Census weights. Still waiting to see why NEP they changed the weight. NEP is low sample size and they haven’t designed a way of getting an accurate picture of how AAPIs voted.

 

Last Weekend in VA, NC, CA

Proect the Vote Virginia This weekend is the last before the Tuesday election. If you’re reading, here’s what you can do this weekend. The stakes are high as, frankly, all the important races for us (Bera, Honda, Takai) are all within the margin of error or possible losses.

  1. Phone bank, canvass – either virtual (from home) or in person phone banking for critical Senatorial candidates like Kay Hagan of North Carolina (contact Jamie Maniscalco to volunteer) or Asian Pacific American candidates like our friends Mike Honda, Ami Bera, and Mark Takai. This phone banking is strictly for GOTV not for fundraising. Canvassing for critical VA races like John Foust in Virginia (contact Emil Trinidad to volunteer) or Kay Hagan in NC (closest key Senate race within driving distance). If interested in the APA candidates, contact Jian Zapata to volunteer.
  2. Protect the vote In VA: for my fellow lawyers, you could be especially helpful here but no need to be an attorney to do this. See training and details below from (contact Georgina to volunteer) and contact her above if you are interested. Also for more info on this, our resident expert since she has been leading several protect the vote efforts over the years is Erika Moritsugu.
  3. Protect the vote in VA for limited English proficient populations: for my bilingual speakers, you can help answer the voter hotline. No need to be a lawyer for this. Spanish speakers are especially needed and some Asian languages. Contact Georgina to volunteer.

For those of you who have helped in prior campaigns, you know the good feeling the day after the election knowing that we did all we could to fight for the candidates whose values and policies we support or that we protected the fundamental right of our fellow citizens to vote.

Find a way to use your weekend better!

Korean American Linda Bryant VA’s 1st AAPI Deputy Attorney General

Editor’s Note: The below is from our friends at Democratic Asian Americans of Virginia (DAAV).

January 16, 2014
Jennifer Oh | 571 225 1930 | daavmedia@gmail.com

Attorney General Mark Herring Makes Historic AAPI Appointment. Korean American Linda Bryant has been named the Commonwealth’s First AAPI Deputy Attorney General and the First Korean American Attorney appointed by the Commonwealth’s Attorney General.

DAAV (Democratic Asian Americans of Virginia) is pleased to congratulate Linda Bryant of Chesapeake, Virginia as she has been appointed the first AAPI Deputy Attorney General in the Commonwealth of Virginia by Attorney General Mark Herring. Linda will be one of four deputy attorneys general who report to the chief deputy attorney general and the attorney general. Linda will also be the first Korean American attorney to serve in the Commonwealth’s Attorney General Office.

Linda, a Korean American was raised in Springfield, Virginia and graduated from Robert E. Lee High School. Linda received undergraduate degrees in History and Spanish from the University of Virginia before completing her law studies at the College of William and Mary.

Following law school, Linda joined the United States Army. She completed basic training and parachutist training. She did her tour of duty as a Captain with the 7th Transportation Group – then co-located at Fort Eustis and Fort Story in Newport News and Virginia Beach. The 7th Transportation Group is known as the “Army’s Navy.” In the 1990s, when Linda served, it was one of the most deployed units of the U.S. Army. The 7th Transportation Group’s mission was to operate seaports, rail terminals and truck transportation routes to make sure our military forces could successfully enter and move forward anywhere in the world during any military deployment.

In 1996, following her tour of active duty service in the United States Army, Linda became an Assistant Commonwealth’s Attorney for the Commonwealth of Virginia. She moved up through the ranks and became a Senior Assistant Commonwealth’s Attorney and then a Deputy Commonwealth’s Attorney in Norfolk, VA.

Since 2010, Linda has been an educator, serving as an adjunct professor at the College of William and Mary, Marshall Wythe School of Law.

Linda has been recognized for leadership and service to the Commonwealth of Virginia with a Virginia“2010 Leader in the Law” award, given to a handful of Virginia attorneys who have improved the Virginia legal system; a “Virginia 2010 Duval Distinguished Prosecutor Award” for fair and ethical service as a prosecutor; and, a “2012 YWCA Woman of Distinction Award” for combatting violence and racism in the Hampton Roads community. She is currently on the Advisory Board for Operation Renewed Hope Foundation, which finds housing for homeless vets.

Family life is very important to Linda as she is the proud mother to daughter Alex Connell and wife to Scott, who is a 23-year Naval Special Operations Officer, with the Explosive Ordnance Disposal (EOD) unit stationed at Little Creek. He and his unit deactivate bombs around the world. Linda’s mother is Kim Fox. Her maiden name is Myungi Kim and resides in Falls Church, Virginia.

Seung Baik, President of the Korean American Bar Association for the Washington, DC Area, said “We are so glad to see the first Korean American attorney appointed to serve the Attorney General of Virginia. The Korean American community is proud of Linda and we look forward to many more years of her leadership. We hope her appointment will inspire young aspiring attorneys all over the Greater Washington, DC Area.”

Mary Thexton, President of the Asian Pacific American Bar Association of Virginia, commented “The AAPI legal community is so pleased to see Attorney General Mark Herring make such an early and noteworthy start to honoring his commitment that the Attorney General’s office be a reflection of Virginia’s diverse population. We applaud this first step and look forward to partnering with the Attorney General’s office in pursuit of justice in our commonwealth. ”

Linda Bryant is expected to begin her service January 27th, 2014.

FAIRFAX, VA—Democratic Asian Americans of Virginia (DAAV) is a constituency group of self-identified Asian Pacific Americans recognized by the Democratic Party of Virginia (DPVA). DAAV is dedicated to increasing APA community engagement in the political process through such efforts as supporting increased voter registration, education awareness programs and pro APA community candidates.

AAA Fund Pleased To Announce Endorsements of Mark Keam and Hung Nguyen for Delegates in Virginia

AAAF logo

Trailblazers have long history of community engagement

OCTOBER 9, 2013

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Contact: Gautam Dutta (415) 236-2048

WASHINGTON D.C. – The Asian American Action (AAA) Fund is pleased to announce the endorsements of Virginia House Delegate candidates Mark Keam and Hung Nguyen.

Second term Delegate Mark Keam is the first Asian-born immigrant to serve as a Virginia state legislator. He is running for reelection to represent House District 35 (Tysons, Vienna, Oakton) in Fairfax County. Del. Keam has a long history of public service, most recently as Chief Counsel to Assistant Senate Majority Leader Dick Durbin. Over the past four years, Del. Keam authored several bills that have become law, and continues to work on education, transportation and jobs, as well as making Virginia a welcoming place for immigrants.

Hung Nguyen is a Vietnamese-American small business owner running for Delegate in House District 67 (Chantilly). His commitment to public service stems from his extensive experience in the non-profit sector and his work on numerous appointed positions including the Fairfax County Consumer Protection Commission, the Virginia Asian Advisory Board, and the Governor’s Commission for National and Community Service. When elected, Nguyen would become the first Vietnamese-American elected official to serve in the state legislature in Virginia history.

AAA-Fund Executive Director Gautam Dutta said, “We’re excited to endorse Mark Keam, who contributes significantly to Asian American politics. We enjoyed working with him during his time on the AAA-Fund Board and know that he will provide commonsense solutions for job creation and education.”

AAA-Fund Board Member Tom Goldstein added: “With his decades of public service to the Commonwealth of Virginia, Hung Nguyen will make sure that our voices are heard in Richmond.”

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DC Tues Oct 8: Free Happy Hour with VA’s Mark Keam & Hung Nguyen

The Asian American Action Fund invites you to a happy hour honoring 2 great Asian American candidates running for the Virginia House of Delegates on Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2013: Incumbent Mark Keam (35th District) and challenger Hung Nguyen (67th District). Contributions accepted by the AAA Fund at this event will be used by the AAA Fund to support outstanding leaders who care about the diverse Asian American and Pacific Islander community.

Tuesday, October 8
6 – 8 p.m.
Local 16, 1602 U Street, NW
Washington, DC 20009

Enjoy complimentary pizza and happy hour specials until 8 p.m.

The Asian American Action Fund ( aaa-fund.com) is dedicated to increasing the voice of the Asian
American communities in government by helping to elect candidates who have a demonstrated
commitment to these constituencies.
Suggested Contribution to AAA Fund: $25 at the event or online at http://bit.ly/KeamNguyen13 or sign up for volunteer shifts (with the campaigns) at the event.

Please contact KJ Bagchi KJBagchi@gmail.com or Tom Goldstein TGoldstein@PaxtonGroup.com with any questions.

Not authorized by any candidate or candidate’s committee.

Lyft Helps AAA-Fund in DC

Editor’s Note: This unsolicited offer to the AAA-Fund is with our neither endorsement or confirmation.

Lyft provides ridesharing with background-checks, driver interviews & Lyft-issued insurance. It’s a cheaper, safer & more reliable alternativs. Lyft just launched in DC & offers AAA-Fund members free rides ($20 credit). Download the app (Android, iOS) at Lyft.me, go to Settings, enter code “DCNP” for $20 credit (expires Sept 1 for first 500 AAA-Fund Blog readers).

AAA-Fund Endorses Aneesh Chopra for VA Lt. Gov.

Editor’s Note: Aneesh lost 54-45. Aneesh looks forward to working with Sen. Northram in November.

AAAF logo

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Contact: Gautam Dutta (202) 236-2048

AAA-Fund Endorses Aneesh Chopra for Lieutenant Governor

Asian Pacific American PAC Touts Unprecedented Opportunity to Elect First Asian American to Statewide Office in Virginia History

WASHINGTON, D.C. – The Asian American Action Fund today endorsed Aneesh Chopra for Lieutenant Governor of Virginia. If elected, Chopra would be the first Asian American elected statewide in Virginia.

AAA-Fund Executive Director Gautam Dutta said, “Virginia has become a battleground state due to an influx of minority communities now making their home there. Aneesh’s background as the secretary of technology to Governor Tim Kaine and as the nation’s first Chief Technology Officer under President Obama makes him an ideal candidate to strengthen Virginia’s middle class through his emphasis on innovation, technology and education. AAA-Fund is pleased to lend our strong support to his historic candidacy.”

 

AAA-Fund is a Democratic PAC with local chapters across the country devoted to strengthening the participation of Asian Pacific Americans in the political process.

 

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The AAA-Fund is a Democratic political action committee whose goal is to increase the voice of Asian Pacific Americans (APA) on every level of local, state and federal government in America. To achieve this goal, we address the chronic under-representation of APAs as campaign volunteers, campaign contributors, and candidates for political office. The AAA-Fund has endorsed candidates across the country. For more information, go to aaa-fund.org and read our award-winning blog.

May 31, Rosslyn, VA: Happy Hour for Aneesh Chopra

Editor’s Note: The Commonwealth of Virginia holds its Democratic Primary on June 11. The below is from our friends at Aneesh Chopra’s campaign for Lieutenant Governor.

Aneesh Chopra for Virginia

Please Join
Aneesh Chopra
for a Happy Hour for Virginia’s Future

Friday, May 31, 2013
5:30 to 7:30 PM

Continental Modern Pool Lounge
1911 N Fort Myer Dr, Arlington, VA 22209
In Rosslyn close to the Metro and the Key Bridge

All are welcome — $10 or $20 contribution optional

Event Info: teamchopra.org/events/may/31

RSVP to Peter Appel, AppelPeterH@gmail.com

Learn more about Aneesh: www.chopraforva.com

Aneesh Chopra was the first U.S. Chief Technology Officer and fourth Secretary of Technology for the Commonwealth of Virginia. He is running to make the Commonwealth better, faster, and fairer for every Virginian. Aneesh’s election will send a strong signal in today’s political climate that leaders focused on delivering a more open, innovative government can make a difference over those that emphasize gridlock and partisanship – and that with an execution focus, we can deliver results in months, not years. His campaign has built a strong grassroots network and Aneesh has earned endorsements from elected and grassroots leaders around the Commonwealth including Congressman Jim Moran, Congressman Gerry Connolly, former Congressman Tom Perriello, former Congressman Rick Boucher, and many more.

Democratic Candidate for Virginia Governor Terry McAuliffe to Host Virginia Asian Pacific American Community Leaders at Campaign Headquarters

The below represents only the sentiments of the AAA Fund Blogteam and not that of the AAA Fund, our parent organization, itself. We encourage all DC and MD AAPI’s to volunteer for the campaign and to attend as support. Terry McAuliffe supported AAPI’s throughout his career. This post is a re-posting of his media advisory.

Democratic Asian Americans of Virginia

Media Advisory
29 January 2013
CONTACT
Jennifer Oh | 571.225.1930 | daavmedia@gmail.com
Josh Schwerin | 318.369.5469 | Josh@TerryMcAuliffe.com

Democratic Candidate for Virginia Governor Terry McAuliffe to Host Virginia Asian Pacific American Community Leaders at Campaign Headquarters

February 4, 7:00-8:30PM
1601 N Kent St Suite 100, Arlington (Rosslyn), VA
Near Rosslyn Metro

Virginia Gubernatorial Candidate Terry McAuliffe has a life long record of championing diversity. To kick off his Asian Pacific American outreach campaign, Terry is hosting community leaders at his headquarters in Rosslyn. McAuliffe believes that the next Governor should work to give every family the opportunity to start their own business and get a good education.

“I am honored to have the support of so many from the Virginia Asian American Community. Bringing jobs to Virginia, keeping our education system strong and making it easier to start a successful small business are priorities we all share. I look forward to this meeting so we can have an even stronger campaign for winning in November and make Virginia an even better place for achieving the American Dream.”

Candidate McAuliffe will outline his goals for his campaign and administration once elected. He will be available to the media for interviews. Also invited to attend are Virginia Democratic Elected Officials of APA heritage: U.S. Representative Bobby Scott, Virginia State Delegate Mark Keam, Fairfax School Board Member Ilryong Moon, Herndon Council Member Grace Han Wolf and Manassas Park Council Member Suhas Naddoni .

How to attend
Members of the Press wishing to attend should contact Jennifer Oh, Communications Coordinator for the Democratic Asian Americans of Virginia at daavmedia@gmail.com.

Election 2012 Update

We congratulate all incoming Senators and Members of Congress:

  • Mazie Hirono (HI)
    Mazie Hirono (HI)
  • Tim Kaine (VA)
    Tim Kaine of Virginia
  • Tammy Duckworth (IL-08)
    Tammy Duckworth (IL-08)
  • Tulsi Gabbard (HI-02)
    Tulsi Gabbard (HI-02)
  • Grace Meng (NY-06)
    Grace Meng (NY-06)
  • Mark Takano (CA-41)
    Mark Takano (CA-41)
    won 57% to 43%
  • Rob Bonta (CA-AD18)
    Rob Bonta
    winning 51%-49%

Too close to call

We cannot say a huge enough thanks to everyone. Special congratulations and elated delight to AAAF of Greater Chicago whose numerous months long phone banking, website editing, email forwarding, logistical organizing, people pulling & generally good cheer & energy for the easy-to-volunteer events, sharing their many delights and overall pulling so many for so many critical last minute get out the vote all for Tammy Duckworth has given us such a brilliant example of an effective grassroot campaign.

These Congressmen & Congresswomen represent the largest caucus of Asian American and Pacific Islander Members in any single Congressional session as well as other records:

  • Hirono – first Asian American woman and first Buddhist to serve in the U.S. Senate
  • Duckworth, Meng – first Asian Americans to represent their states IL and NY respectively
  • Gabbard – first Hindu American in US Congress, first Samoan American elected as a voting member of Congress
  • Takano – first openly gay minority Member of Congress

We are thrilled not only to share in the delights of our elected officials above but also to our other endorsed candidates:

Lastly, just seen on the ED Show on MSNBC:

Demographic groups Voted for Obama Voted for Romney
Whites 39% 59%
Black 93% 6%
Latino 71% 27%
Asian 73% 26%

Thank you to all!

Update Nov 12: Our Dr. Ami Bera is leading!

Update Nov 17: Bera Wins!